Prediction of Insolvency of Hungarian Micro Enterprises
8 Pages Posted: 20 Nov 2018
Date Written: September 8, 2016
Abstract
The aim of the study is to establish insolvency forecast model with the usage of different statistical methods and compare their efficiency. Besides this the relation and direction between indebtedness and financial distress is also part of the examination. With different approaches we nearly reached the same efficiency, the main focus was on the independent testing sample where we did not apply any modification on the dataset supposing realistic circumstances for predicting the probability of default. The research is focusing on small companies, since their number in the economy is considered high, but for this segment such insolvency forecasts are very rare.
Keywords: bankruptcy, market, forecasting
JEL Classification: G17, G31, G33
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
13 References
Financial Ratios, Discriminant Analysis and the Prediction of Corporate Bankruptcy
The Journal of Finance, volume 23, issue 4, p. 589 - 609CrossrefPosted: 1968- A mezőgazdaságivállalatokfizetésképtelenségénekelőrejelzésePosted: 2002
Financial Ratios as Predictors of Failure, Empirical Research in Accounting: Selected Studies
Journal of Accounting Research, Supplement to, volume 5, p. 1 - 111Posted: 1966- Modern vállalatipénzügyekPosted: 1999